Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.246833 0.289289 0.339432 0.403731 0.485031 0.585842 0.722609
2025-02-09 0.184853 0.237034 0.306775 0.409756 0.563375 0.793798 1.186818
2025-02-16 0.150990 0.206423 0.287542 0.421200 0.649937 1.057146 1.930073
2025-02-23 0.128160 0.183803 0.271069 0.428021 0.729661 1.356916 3.048709
2025-03-02 0.111472 0.165992 0.256365 0.431147 0.802665 1.694871 4.741491
2025-03-09 0.098193 0.150677 0.241669 0.428654 0.862543 2.052746 7.229687
2025-03-16 0.086932 0.136619 0.225927 0.418868 0.901380 2.393527 10.664639
2025-03-23 0.080615 0.130010 0.222379 0.433453 1.009300 3.073103 19.117162
2025-03-30 0.072910 0.119702 0.209653 0.423593 1.045860 3.547459 29.858825
2025-04-06 0.067977 0.113821 0.204695 0.430850 1.139697 4.422738 57.787911
2025-04-13 0.062652 0.106484 0.195433 0.424757 1.187948 5.173708 106.096411
2025-04-20 0.059162 0.102279 0.192172 0.433702 1.297614 6.555667 277.881309
2025-04-27 0.056420 0.099321 0.191392 0.450200 1.454498 8.815481 1342.342463
2025-05-04 0.053590 0.095859 0.188946 0.461557 1.603521 11.714108 20699.438789
2025-05-11 0.051219 0.093075 0.187647 0.476352 1.786636 16.176981 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048748 0.089792 0.184606 0.484811 1.950139 21.885291 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046302 0.086297 0.180503 0.488629 2.096422 29.205409 NaN
2025-06-01 0.043806 0.082440 0.174915 0.485732 2.203483 37.622691 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041202 0.078101 0.167496 0.474218 2.246388 45.465820 NaN
2025-06-15 0.039925 0.076657 0.167582 0.491406 2.523433 72.531664 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037721 0.072877 0.160812 0.479786 2.566614 89.884723 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036378 0.070993 0.159066 0.488338 2.799636 142.211964 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034638 0.068026 0.153892 0.481158 2.886434 192.939574 NaN